8
Kaptain Fafa
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Loic Bellanger - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#13
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 7
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Cholet | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-30 | Saint Brieuc | 6 | +1 | ||
| 2025-09-04 | Les Sables | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-08-13 | Saint-Malo | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-07-25 | Pornichet | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +52.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2024 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 13/08/2024 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 69% | +0.64 |