5
Berman
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 73
Meadowlands · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
56%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Meadowlands | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Saratoga | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 61/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength92%
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 05/08/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 03/09/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 19/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 83% | -0.12 |