6

Post Command

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 97

Meadowlands · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

74%

Place Prob

55%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼2
Strength77%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.1 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 21/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f Fm 11721/02C7C7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 21/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m3f Fm 117C7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 18/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 98 · 1m110y Fm 119 · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 98 par18/04C7OR 98C5 @ Monmouth Park 13/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 99 · 1m110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 99 parC6 @ Monmouth Park 12/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 100 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 100 par12/07C6OR 100C0 @ Monmouth Park 18/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 103 · 1m3f Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 103 parC7 @ Monmouth Park 07/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 1m1f Fm 1227/08C7C6 @ Monmouth Park 29/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 97 · 1m110y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 97 parC6 @ Monmouth Park 13/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 99 · 1m110y Slo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 99 par13/09C6OR 99projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Monmouth Park?1st0th+1
2026-08-29Monmouth Park?3rd2nd+1
2026-08-07Monmouth Park?3rd4th−1
2026-07-18Monmouth Park?5th-2th+6
2026-07-12Monmouth Park?1st0th+1
2026-06-13Monmouth Park?3rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0213/067/0813/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength93%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/02/20264th5/174%63%-0.11
21/03/20262nd6/168%88%+0.19
18/04/20264th8/158%57%-0.01
13/06/20263rd25/10%78%+0.78
12/07/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
18/07/20265th50/10%33%+0.33
07/08/20263rd9/153%50%-0.03
29/08/20263rd10/382%60%-0.22
13/09/20261st10/147%100%+0.53