9

The Great Oscar

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 9 · OR 88

Meadowlands · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gulfstream 21/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 92 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark21/12/2025 · OR 92 par21/12C8OR 92C8 @ Gulfstream 01/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 89 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark01/02/2026 · OR 89 parC8 @ Gulfstream 22/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 87 · 1m110y 123 · below its mark22/02/2026 · OR 87 par22/02C8OR 87C8 @ Gulfstream 13/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 82 · 1m110y Fas 123 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 82 parC8 @ Gulfstream 03/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 82 · 1m110y 123 · below its mark03/04/2026 · OR 82 par3/04C8OR 82C7 @ Delaware Park 30/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 83 · 1m110y 122 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 83 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 15/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 83 · 1m70y 123 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 83 par15/07C8OR 83C7 @ Colonial Downs 28/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 84 · 1m1f Fm 123 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 84 parC8 @ Meadowlands 26/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 87 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark26/09/2026 · OR 87 par26/09C8OR 87projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26Meadowlands?2nd3rd−1
2026-08-28Colonial Downs?6th6th0
2026-07-15Presque Isle Downs?1st2nd−1
2026-05-30Delaware Park?2nd2nd0
2026-04-03Gulfstream?7th8th−1
2026-03-13Gulfstream?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/1213/0315/0726/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength90%

Delivery trend +5.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/12/20255th5/174%60%-0.14
01/02/20265th10/147%33%-0.14
22/02/20268th20/10%0%0.00
13/03/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
03/04/20267th12/137%0%-0.37
30/05/20262nd9/488%83%-0.05
15/07/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
28/08/20266th33/10%38%+0.38
26/09/20262nd15/261%83%+0.23