4
Mt Suribachi
9yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 83
Meadowlands · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Meadowlands | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Meadowlands | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Monmouth Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength80%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 19/07/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 16/08/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 31/08/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 10/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 22/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 08/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 30/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |