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Lady Dora Mae

3yo Filly · 9-12 · Draw 1 · OR 96

Newmarket · British EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f

#6

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Space Blues filly who has done well for George Boughey this year, recording a third success at Windsor (1m) in May and runner up 4 times since. Possibly found run coming too soon when below par behind Pendella at the York Ebor meeting. Freshened up since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength52%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lingfield 03/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 74 · 7f1y Std 123 · beat its mark03/04/2026 · OR 74 par3/044OR 745 @ Musselburgh 26/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 74 · 1m208y Goo 127 · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 74 par4 @ Windsor 23/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 75 · 1m31y GF 127 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 75 par23/054OR 753 @ Nottingham 31/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 80 · 1m2f50y Goo 122 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 80 par1 @ Goodwood 07/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 80 · 1m1f197y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 80 par7/061OR 801 @ Newmarket 04/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 94 · 1m4f GF 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 94 par2 @ Goodwood 31/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 94 · 1m1f197y GF 135 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 94 par31/072OR 941 @ Clairefontaine 14/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 95 · 1m3f204y GS 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 95 par2 @ York 21/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 95 · 1m2f56y GS 131 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 95 par21/082OR 95projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21York29th9th0
2026-08-14Clairefontaine12nd1st+1
2026-07-31Goodwood22nd2nd0
2026-07-04Newmarket16th4th+2
2026-06-07Goodwood12nd1st+1
2026-05-31Nottingham32nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0431/0531/0721/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-7 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength38%

Delivery trend +2.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/04/20268th10/382%36%-0.46
26/04/20262nd2/189%91%+0.01
23/05/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
31/05/20262nd11/486%83%-0.02
07/06/20262nd14/126%86%+0.59
04/07/20266th16/116%38%+0.22
31/07/20262nd11/142%83%+0.41
14/08/20262nd6/168%88%+0.19
21/08/20269th5/174%38%-0.35