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5

Choreography

2yo Colt · 8-13 · Draw 5

Newmarket · 200,000 Pound Tattersalls October Auction Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#10

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

40,000 gns New Bay colt who knuckled down well under pressure to make a winning debut at Southwell (7f) in May. Not been seen since but he is open to progress with Colin Keane booked.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 21/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 7f14y Std 13121/054
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-21Southwell41st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength30%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/05/20261st11/271%100%+0.29