8

Claret And Blues

2yo Colt · 8-9 · Draw 1 · OR 57

Newmarket · 200,000 Pound Tattersalls October Auction Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#11

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★ Timeform

Commentary

Modest maiden who faces a stiff task here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲4
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -3.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Pontefract 21/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f3y Gd 13321/0455 @ Southwell 07/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 4f214y Std 1307/0554 @ Chester 30/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 6f17y Gd 13030/0546 @ Pontefract 07/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 64 · 6f Goo 134 · below its mark07/07/2026 · OR 64 par7/076OR 646 @ Thirsk 24/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 61 · 6f Goo 131 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 61 par24/076OR 616 @ Thirsk 14/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 59 · 6f Goo 129 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 59 par14/096OR 596 @ Southwell 24/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 59 · 7f15y Std 129 · beat its mark24/09/2026 · OR 59 par24/096OR 59projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-24Southwell64th9th−4
2026-09-14Thirsk63rd8th−4
2026-07-24Thirsk65th10th−4
2026-07-07Pontefract66th11th−4
2026-05-30Chester46th8th−2
2026-05-07Southwell53rd7th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/047/0724/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength79%

Delivery trend +15.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/04/20265th5/174%43%-0.31
07/05/20263rd11/486%60%-0.26
30/05/20266th40/10%55%+0.55
07/07/20266th11/142%29%-0.14
24/07/20265th12/137%64%+0.27
14/09/20263rd11/142%87%+0.45
24/09/20264th20/10%73%+0.73