6
Jumeirah Storm
2yo Colt · 8-13 · Draw 7 · OR 82
Newmarket · 200,000 Pound Tattersalls October Auction Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength15%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Newbury | 4 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-08-19 | York | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Doncaster | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-03 | Doncaster | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-14 | Salisbury | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 6-14 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength36%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 70% | +0.09 |
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.34 |
| 18/09/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |