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2

Night In Vegas

2yo Colt · 9-5 · Draw 2 · OR 102

Newmarket · 200,000 Pound Tattersalls October Auction Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

4/5

Win Prob

29%

Place Prob

37%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bidding for a hat-trick in similar races after wins on the July Course here (6f, good; beat Zigazig Ah 1½ lengths) and Doncaster (6.5f, good) in recent months. Likely to prove hard to beat again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength43%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.6
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Ascot 09/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f Goo 1339/0532 @ Goodwood 22/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR - · 6f Goo 13522/0521 @ Royal Ascot 16/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 21 · OR - · 6f GF 129 · HIGHER CLASS16/0611 @ Goodwood 30/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 102 · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 102 par30/071OR 1022 @ Newmarket 22/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR 102 · 6f Gd 133 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 102 par22/082OR 1022 @ Doncaster 10/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR 102 · 6f111y Goo 123 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 102 par10/092OR 102projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Doncaster21st1st0
2026-08-22Newmarket21st1st0
2026-07-30Goodwood13rd1st+2
2026-06-16Royal Ascot15th3rd+2
2026-05-22Goodwood21st1st0
2026-05-09Ascot31st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0522/0516/0630/0722/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 71/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength88%

Delivery trend -7.1% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/05/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
22/05/20261st1/297%100%+0.03
16/06/20265th9/153%80%+0.27
30/07/20263rd6/168%78%+0.09
22/08/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
10/09/20261st5/696%100%+0.04