Peggy's Lad
2yo Colt · 8-9 · Draw 9 · OR 66
Newmarket · 200,000 Pound Tattersalls October Auction Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 7.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Newmarket | 5 | 5th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Carlisle | 4 | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-05-18 | Redcar | 5 | 15th | 19th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/2026 | 15th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/06/2026 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 25/06/2026 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 06/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |