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Velociraptor

2yo Colt · 9-1 · Draw 14 · OR 87

Newmarket · 200,000 Pound Tattersalls October Auction Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

71%

Place Prob

58%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lope Y Fernandez colt who has plenty about him physically and built on his July Course debut when cosily seeing off 5 rivals in a 7f Chester maiden (good to firm) in July. 7¼ lengths fourth of 6 to Quest For Stars in listed race at Salisbury (1m, good) since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Newmarket 11/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f GF 12811/0733 @ Chester 25/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 7f1y Goo 13325/0731 @ Salisbury 12/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 87 · 1m Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 87 par12/081OR 87projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Salisbury14th3rd+1
2026-07-25Chester31st2nd−1
2026-07-11Newmarket33rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0725/0712/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 15-15 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -48.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/07/20263rd25/10%67%+0.67
25/07/20261st8/1196%100%+0.04
12/08/20264th11/271%40%-0.31