13

Woodhay Wayfarer

2yo Filly · 8-4 · Draw 10 · OR 75

Newmarket · 200,000 Pound Tattersalls October Auction Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Off the mark on nursery debut over 1m on the July Course here in August and bettered that form when close third in 1m Kempton nursery 4 weeks ago. Going the right way and likely to be in the shake-up.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength18%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Windsor 23/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 6f12y GF 12523/0553 @ Kempton 10/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f Sta 12810/0634 @ Epsom Downs 09/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 7f3y GF 1289/0745 @ Newmarket 06/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 68 · 1m GF 128 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 68 par6/085OR 685 @ Kempton 05/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 74 · 1m Sta 134 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 74 par5/095OR 74projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Kempton53rd7th−3
2026-08-06Newmarket51st5th−3
2026-07-09Epsom Downs45th7th−2
2026-06-10Kempton35th6th−1
2026-05-23Windsor58th12th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0510/069/076/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 13-15 · tight 79/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -13.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/20268th28/10%36%+0.36
10/06/20265th50/10%50%+0.50
09/07/20265th20/10%43%+0.43
06/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
05/09/20263rd9/488%71%-0.17