
Woodhay Wayfarer
2yo Filly · 8-4 · Draw 10 · OR 75
Newmarket · 200,000 Pound Tattersalls October Auction Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kempton | 5 | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-08-06 | Newmarket | 5 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-09 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-06-10 | Kempton | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Windsor | 5 | 8th | 12th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -13.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 06/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |