4
Arqoob
8yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 2 · OR 91
Newmarket · HKJC World Pool Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f
#1
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
77%
Place Prob
49%
Rank
#1
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Doncaster | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Newmarket | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Newmarket | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Sandown | 4 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-13 | York | 3 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Newmarket | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength59%
Delivery trend +4.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 03/11/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 13/09/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |