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6

Primo Lara

5yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 7 · OR 90

Newmarket · HKJC World Pool Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f

#4

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Back to his best when making it 3 wins from 4 starts at Kempton last month. Turned in another solid effort when 4½-length third off this mark in a useful race at Newbury (13.5f) last time. Clearly in fine fettle and should give another good account with Saffie Osborne (1-1) returning.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength25%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wolverhampton 27/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 77 · 1m1f104y Std 132 · below its mark27/04/2026 · OR 77 par27/044OR 775 @ Lingfield 18/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 75 · 1m2f Goo 135 · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 75 par5 @ Nottingham 03/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 72 · 1m2f50y Goo 132 · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 72 par3/065OR 725 @ Salisbury 14/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 76 · 1m1f201y Gd 136 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 76 par5 @ Wolverhampton 06/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 75 · 1m1f104y Std 142 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 75 par6/075OR 754 @ Ascot 25/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 79 · 1m3f211y GF 141 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 79 par2 @ York 21/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 86 · 1m3f188y GS 124 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 86 par21/082OR 863 @ Kempton 05/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 86 · 1m3f219y Sta 126 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 86 par2 @ Newbury 19/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 90 · 1m5f61y GF 123 · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 90 par19/092OR 90projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Newbury23rd3rd0
2026-09-05Kempton31st2nd−1
2026-08-21York24th4th0
2026-07-25Ascot41st3rd−2
2026-07-06Wolverhampton51st5th−3
2026-06-14Salisbury55th9th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0414/0621/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 64/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength97%

Delivery trend +2.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/04/20269th12/137%0%-0.37
18/05/20266th13/266%29%-0.37
03/06/20262nd25/10%89%+0.89
14/06/20265th4/179%56%-0.23
06/07/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
25/07/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
21/08/20264th10/382%80%-0.02
05/09/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
19/09/20263rd11/486%75%-0.11