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5

Sportingsilvermine

5yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 5 · OR 91

Newmarket · HKJC World Pool Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f

#2

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

13%

Place Prob

20%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Career best when doubling his tally for the year in the Old Newton Cup (1½m) on the July Course here. Still looked in top form prior to racing too keenly when switched to front-running tactics at Doncaster (1¼m) latest. Should be seen to much better effect off a likely strong pace here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chester 08/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 80 · 1m4f63y Goo 138 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 80 par8/054OR 804 @ York 13/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 17 · OR 80 · 1m3f188y Gd 130 · beat its mark13/05/2026 · OR 80 par4 @ Beverley 30/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 77 · 1m1f207y Goo 127 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 77 par30/054OR 772 @ York 12/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 86 · 1m2f56y Gd 122 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 86 par2 @ Newmarket 04/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 86 · 1m4f GF 121 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 86 par4/072OR 862 @ York 11/07/2026 · Pos 21st of 22 · OR 86 · 1m2f56y Goo 124 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 86 par2 @ Ascot 08/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 91 · 1m3f211y GF 134 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 91 par8/082OR 912 @ York 21/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 92 · 1m3f188y GS 130 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 92 par2 @ Doncaster 12/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 92 · 1m2f43y Gd 126 · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 92 par12/092OR 92projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Doncaster211th11th0
2026-08-21York26th6th0
2026-08-08Ascot22nd2nd0
2026-07-11York221th21th0
2026-07-04Newmarket21st1st0
2026-06-12York23rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0512/068/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength89%

Delivery trend -0.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/05/202610th7/163%36%-0.27
13/05/20267th22/10%63%+0.63
30/05/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
12/06/20263rd11/142%87%+0.45
04/07/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
11/07/202621st22/10%5%+0.05
08/08/20262nd16/116%89%+0.73
21/08/20266th22/10%67%+0.67
12/09/202611th8/158%9%-0.49