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7

Topteam

4yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 6 · OR 88

Newmarket · HKJC World Pool Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hit-and-miss front runner who resumed progress when successful on return at Kempton (1½m) in April. Beat a couple of today's rivals when runner-up over C&D the following month. Now 2 lb below that mark following a quieter spell and dangerous to dismiss if on a going day.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Thirsk 02/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 85 · 1m4f8y Goo 135 · beat its mark02/07/2025 · OR 85 par2/074OR 853 @ Ascot 09/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 89 · 1m3f211y Goo 140 · beat its mark09/08/2025 · OR 89 par2 @ Ascot 06/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 89 · 1m3f211y Sft 121 · below its mark06/09/2025 · OR 89 par6/092OR 893 @ Kempton 06/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 87 · 1m3f219y Sta 132 · beat its mark06/04/2026 · OR 87 par3 @ Epsom Downs 28/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 90 · 1m4f6y Gd 130 · below its mark28/04/2026 · OR 90 par28/043OR 903 @ Newmarket 15/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 90 · 1m4f Gd 135 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 90 par2 @ Carlisle 30/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 91 · 1m3f39y Goo 128 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 91 par30/052OR 913 @ Kempton 05/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 91 · 1m3f219y Sta 131 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 91 par3 @ Southwell 22/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 90 · 1m4f14y Std 142 · beat its mark22/09/2026 · OR 90 par22/093OR 90projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22Southwell36th7th−1
2026-09-05Kempton37th8th−1
2026-05-30Carlisle212th12th0
2026-05-15Newmarket32nd3rd−1
2026-04-28Epsom Downs35th6th−1
2026-04-06Kempton31st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/076/0430/0522/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength15%

Delivery trend -3.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
09/08/20254th7/282%57%-0.24
06/09/20257th28/10%0%0.00
06/04/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
28/04/20265th6/492%0%-0.92
15/05/20262nd11/271%86%+0.15
30/05/202612th11/142%0%-0.42
05/09/20267th4/179%40%-0.39
22/09/20266th10/147%44%-0.03