Tycoon
4yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 8 · OR 92
Newmarket · HKJC World Pool Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f
#6
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Yarmouth | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-21 | York | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | York | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Ascot | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Newmarket | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 27/11/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 14/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 05/06/2026 | 13th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 16/09/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 70% | +0.15 |