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2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 3

Newmarket · Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

98%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Frankel colt who makes plenty of appeal on paper and whilst unable to justify cramped odds, he still shaped with encouragement from a less-than-ideal position when third of 7 in a Sandown novice (7f) on debut 17 days ago. Highly likely he can improve plenty on that bare form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Sandown 16/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f Goo 13016/093
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Sandown33rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength43%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 4. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/09/20263rd8/1597%67%-0.31