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3

Kicking Bear

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 4

Newmarket · Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

11/8

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

€130,000 2-y-o, Sioux Nation colt. Dam, useful French 9.5f/1¼m winner, half-sister to useful winner up to 9f Ana Americana. Shaped with masses of promise when a keeping-on second to one with experience in a 6.5f Newbury maiden 38 days ago. Lots more to come so the one to beat.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 26/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 6f110y GF 13326/084
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Newbury42nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 4100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 50/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 4. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/20262nd14/126%89%+0.63