IvyArcIvyArc
1

Chapel Stream

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 2

Newmarket · BetMGM EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Palace Pier colt who shaped better than first time up with cheekpieces enlisted when fourth of 7 in Yarmouth maiden (7f) 17 days ago, staying on last ½f. Further increase in trip promises to suit but he appeals as a likely type for nurseries after this.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Haydock 03/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 6f Sft 1283/0933 @ Yarmouth 16/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f3y Goo 13316/093projClass-projected finish: 1st of 1
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Yarmouth34th4th0
2026-09-03Haydock37th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0916/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 30% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +107.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 3. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20267th8/158%0%-0.58
16/09/20264th33/10%50%+0.50