3

Royal Quest
2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 1
Newmarket · BetMGM EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength22%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Doncaster | 2 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 3100% of fieldRange 2-7 · tight 50/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 3. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |