8
Enchant
3yo Filly · 9-1 · Draw 4 · OR 79
Newmarket · Experience The Thrill With Kennet Valley Syndicates Fillies' Handicap · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲1
Strength7%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Sandown | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Thirsk | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Doncaster | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-06-22 | Pontefract | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 5-9 · tight 63/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength34%
Delivery trend -7.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 55% | -0.28 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |
| 16/09/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |