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5

Harlequin Angel

3yo Filly · 9-8 · Draw 2 · OR 86

Newmarket · Experience The Thrill With Kennet Valley Syndicates Fillies' Handicap · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

After 7 months off, got back on the up when making all at Yarmouth in April. Hasn't managed to kick on in 2 subsequent outings, though, unable to lead in the Sandringham at Royal Ascot before seventh of 11 on the July Course when last seen.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Ascot 09/05/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS9/0524 @ Chelmsford City 19/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 6f Sta 1282 @ Newmarket 10/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS10/0724 @ Newmarket 09/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 76 · 7f GF 126 · beat its mark09/08/2025 · OR 76 par2 @ Newmarket 04/10/2025 · Pos 22nd of 26 · OR 81 · 7f Goo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 81 par4/102OR 814 @ Yarmouth 30/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 81 · 7f3y GF 133 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 81 par2 @ Royal Ascot 19/06/2026 · Pos 18th of 30 · OR 87 · 1m GF 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 87 par19/062OR 873 @ Newmarket 11/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 87 · 7f GF 131 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 87 par11/073OR 87projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Newmarket37th7th0
2026-06-19Royal Ascot218th17th+1
2026-04-30Yarmouth41st2nd−1
2025-10-04Newmarket222th21th+1
2025-08-09Newmarket41st2nd−1
2025-07-10Newmarket23rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/059/0819/0611/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength78%

Delivery trend -0.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/05/202512th50/10%8%+0.08
19/06/20252nd14/126%86%+0.59
10/07/20253rd16/116%71%+0.56
09/08/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
04/10/202522nd40/10%16%+0.16
30/04/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
19/06/202618th50/10%41%+0.41
11/07/20267th14/126%40%+0.14