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Havana Pusey

6yo Mare · 10-2 · Draw 7 · OR 92

Newmarket · Experience The Thrill With Kennet Valley Syndicates Fillies' Handicap · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Returned to near her best when winning at Yarmouth in April and similar form when runner-up at Newbury in August. Has had possible excuses the last twice, racing on the unfavoured near side at Newbury 2 weeks ago. Is back down to her last winning mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼1
Strength60%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Newmarket 16/04/2026 · Pos 14th of 18 · OR 94 · 7f Gd 135 · below its mark16/04/2026 · OR 94 par16/043OR 943 @ Yarmouth 28/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 92 · 7f3y Gd 137 · beat its mark28/04/2026 · OR 92 par1 @ Lingfield 09/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 96 · 7f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 96 par9/051OR 961 @ Musselburgh 06/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 96 · 7f15y Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 96 par2 @ Newmarket 11/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 96 · 7f GF 142 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 96 par11/072OR 961 @ Goodwood 29/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 95 · 7f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 95 par2 @ Newbury 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 94 · 7f GF 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 94 par15/082OR 942 @ Salisbury 03/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 94 · 6f Goo 140 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 94 par3 @ Newbury 19/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR 94 · 7f GF 139 · below its mark19/09/2026 · OR 94 par19/093OR 94projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Newbury312th12th0
2026-09-03Salisbury29th8th+1
2026-08-15Newbury22nd1st+1
2026-07-29Goodwood19th6th+2
2026-07-11Newmarket27th6th+1
2026-06-06Musselburgh17th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/046/0615/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 3-10 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength4%

Delivery trend +0.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/202614th18/15%24%+0.18
28/04/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
09/05/20263rd11/271%67%-0.04
06/06/20267th7/282%0%-0.82
11/07/20267th15/261%25%-0.36
29/07/20269th50/10%33%+0.33
15/08/20262nd25/10%86%+0.86
03/09/20269th13/266%0%-0.66
19/09/202612th25/10%27%+0.27