6

Starfinch

3yo Filly · 9-5 · Draw 6 · OR 83

Newmarket · Experience The Thrill With Kennet Valley Syndicates Fillies' Handicap · 7f

#10

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made a winning start for new connections in 6f novice at Southwell in January. Advanced her form on handicap debut when close third of 4 at Yarmouth (7f) in July and left behind a lesser effort when sixth of 13 at Kempton 10 days ago. Task is now to build on latest run.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength46%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 7.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.6
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 23/08/2025 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 7f Gd 12823/08C84 @ Southwell 13/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 6f16y Std 12613/0141 @ Lingfield 28/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 7f1y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS28/0211 @ Goodwood 02/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 88 · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 88 par2/051OR 884 @ Yarmouth 23/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 87 · 7f3y GF 136 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 87 par23/074OR 872 @ York 20/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 19 · OR 86 · 7f GS 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 86 par20/082OR 864 @ Kempton 23/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 85 · 7f Sta 136 · beat its mark23/09/2026 · OR 85 par23/094OR 85projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23Kempton46th7th−1
2026-08-20York213th12th+1
2026-07-23Yarmouth43rd4th−1
2026-05-02Goodwood19th6th+2
2026-02-28Lingfield16th3rd+2
2026-01-13Southwell41st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/082/0523/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/202514th33/10%0%0.00
13/01/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
28/02/20266th66/10%29%+0.29
02/05/20269th50/10%0%0.00
23/07/20263rd14/126%33%+0.07
20/08/202613th100/10%33%+0.33
23/09/20266th25/10%58%+0.58