4

Starlight Lass

3yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 10 · OR 87

Newmarket · Experience The Thrill With Kennet Valley Syndicates Fillies' Handicap · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Landed the odds in novice on the July Course (1m) making her second start, before following up in good style in another 3-runner contest at Yarmouth. Seemed unsuited by soft ground when well held on handicap debut at York's Ebor meeting (7f), so she's worth another chance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Yarmouth 10/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 7f3y Goo 12810/0644 @ Newmarket 26/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR - · 1m GF 12826/0644 @ Yarmouth 08/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR - · 1m3y GF 1358/0742 @ York 20/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 19 · OR 87 · 7f GS 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 87 par20/082OR 87projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20York214th13th+1
2026-07-08Yarmouth41st2nd−1
2026-06-26Newmarket41st2nd−1
2026-06-10Yarmouth42nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0626/068/0720/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength23%

Delivery trend -17.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/06/20262nd11/486%90%+0.04
26/06/20261st30/10098%100%+0.02
08/07/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
20/08/202614th3/184%28%-0.56