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Stimulative Trip

3yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 1 · OR 87

Newmarket · Experience The Thrill With Kennet Valley Syndicates Fillies' Handicap · 7f

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Debut winner at Newbury last year who ran well when third in listed race at Carlisle in June. Down the field last 2 starts, dropped back to 6f on handicap debut at Salisbury a month ago, but there have been better signs from her yard recently.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼2
Strength83%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.2
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newbury 24/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS24/0621 @ Newbury 18/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS18/0411 @ Chantilly 04/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 89 · 7f209y GS 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 89 par4/051OR 891 @ Carlisle 24/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 89 · 6f195y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 89 par24/061OR 891 @ Mont De Marsan 26/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 91 · 7f209y GS 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 91 par26/071OR 912 @ Salisbury 03/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 90 · 6f Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 90 par3/092OR 90projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Salisbury28th7th+1
2026-07-26Mont De Marsan18th5th+2
2026-06-24Carlisle13rd0th+2
2026-05-04Chantilly16th3rd+2
2026-04-18Newbury19th6th+2
2025-06-24Newbury21st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0618/044/0524/0626/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 61/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -19.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/06/20251st20/10%100%+1.00
18/04/20269th25/10%38%+0.38
04/05/20266th8/158%29%-0.29
24/06/20263rd28/10%78%+0.78
26/07/20268th5/174%0%-0.74
03/09/20268th40/10%13%+0.13