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2

Tryst

3yo Filly · 10-0 · Draw 9 · OR 92

Newmarket · Experience The Thrill With Kennet Valley Syndicates Fillies' Handicap · 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

83%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed improved form dropped to 7f and fitted with cheekpieces, recording back-to-back wins at Yarmouth and the July Course. Is probably best not judged on her last 2 efforts, not ideally placed when mid-field at Ascot (1m), so she could fare better back down in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength43%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wolverhampton 28/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m142y Std 12828/1052 @ Kempton 28/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 83 · 1m Sta 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 83 par3 @ Wolverhampton 17/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 83 · 1m142y Std 118 · beat its mark17/04/2026 · OR 83 par17/043OR 834 @ Ascot 09/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 84 · 1m1f212y Goo 126 · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 84 par4 @ Chester 12/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 83 · 1m2f70y Sft 127 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 83 par12/064OR 834 @ Yarmouth 15/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 80 · 7f3y GF 134 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 80 par4 @ Newmarket 01/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 87 · 7f GF 137 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 87 par1/084OR 872 @ York 20/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 19 · OR 93 · 7f GS 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 93 par2 @ Ascot 05/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 93 · 1m Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 93 par5/092OR 93projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Ascot25th4th+1
2026-08-20York211th10th+1
2026-08-01Newmarket41st2nd−1
2026-07-15Yarmouth41st2nd−1
2026-06-12Chester46th7th−1
2026-05-09Ascot47th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/109/051/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 40/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength55%

Delivery trend +7.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/10/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
28/03/20264th10/1195%40%-0.55
17/04/20262nd1/195%75%-0.20
09/05/20267th4/179%25%-0.54
12/06/20266th8/158%0%-0.58
15/07/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
01/08/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
20/08/202611th11/142%44%+0.02
05/09/20265th14/126%56%+0.29