IvyArcIvyArc
7

Woohoo

5yo Mare · 9-2 · Draw 8 · OR 78

Newmarket · Experience The Thrill With Kennet Valley Syndicates Fillies' Handicap · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Scored at Musselburgh (5f) in April and racked up a sequence of 6 runner-up finishes in July/August, including over 7f at York's Ebor meeting. Good third at this course (6f) 9 days ago and she can be thereabouts once more back down in grade.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength63%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Hamilton 25/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 70 · 5f7y Goo 124 · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 70 par25/063OR 705 @ Ayr 05/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 70 · 5f Gd 156 · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Ayr 13/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 70 · 5f Goo 138 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 70 par13/075OR 704 @ Hamilton 17/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 70 · 5f7y Goo 130 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 70 par3 @ Goodwood 28/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 20 · OR 70 · 6f Goo 114 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 70 par28/073OR 704 @ Musselburgh 07/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 70 · 5f1y Gd 128 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 70 par2 @ York 20/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 19 · OR 75 · 7f GS 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 75 par20/082OR 753 @ York 06/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 78 · 7f GS 125 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 78 par2 @ Newmarket 24/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 78 · 6f Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/09/2026 · OR 78 par24/092OR 78projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-24Newmarket23rd2nd+1
2026-09-06York36th6th0
2026-08-20York22nd1st+1
2026-08-07Musselburgh42nd3rd−1
2026-07-28Goodwood32nd2nd0
2026-07-17Hamilton42nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0617/0720/0824/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 81/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/06/20267th13/266%14%-0.52
05/07/20262nd7/282%83%+0.02
13/07/20262nd2/189%90%+0.01
17/07/20262nd13/891%75%-0.16
28/07/20262nd18/15%95%+0.89
07/08/20262nd9/488%80%-0.08
20/08/20262nd18/15%94%+0.89
06/09/20266th6/168%64%-0.04
24/09/20263rd7/163%78%+0.15