3
Box Officer
3yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 2
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix Chaudenay (Group 2) · 1m 6f 200y
#8
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 5th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Deauville | 1 | 4th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | 1 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Chantilly | 1 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 26/03/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 87% | +0.31 |
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |