Pierre Bonnard
3yo Colt · 9-2 · Draw 1 · OR 116
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix Chaudenay (Group 2) · 1m 6f 200y
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Doncaster | 1 | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-08-19 | York | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Curragh | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Epsom Downs | 1 | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Leopardstown | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Leopardstown | 1 | 7th | 7th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 11/10/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 26/10/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 12/04/2026 | 7th | 1/1 | 95% | 25% | -0.70 |
| 10/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 12/09/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |