4
Space Waltz
3yo Colt · 9-2 · Draw 5
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix Chaudenay (Group 2) · 1m 6f 200y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Chantilly | 1 | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-04-12 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2025-11-18 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 54/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength61%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 27/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 18/11/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 12/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 86% | -0.09 |