7
Victoire Magique
3yo Colt · 9-2 · Draw 8
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix Chaudenay (Group 2) · 1m 6f 200y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
86%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Deauville | 1 | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Chantilly | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-05-14 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 6th | 7th | −0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 2 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 85/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 10/03/2026 | 10th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 02/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 29/04/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 14/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 08/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 03/09/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |