2
Seagulls Eleven
4yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 5 · OR 112
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix Dollar (Group 2) · 1m 1f 152y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Goodwood | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Goodwood | 1 | 10th | 10th | +0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Ascot | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Epsom Downs | 1 | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-05-24 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Saint-Cloud | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 59/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength11%
Delivery trend -8.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2025 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 01/08/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 23/08/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 01/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |
| 29/07/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |