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5

Silawi

6yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 1 · OR 110

ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix Dollar (Group 2) · 1m 1f 152y

#5

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength43%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ La Teste De Buch 31/08/2024 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12531/08C53 @ Windsor 26/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 92 · 1m2f GF 137 · beat its mark26/05/2025 · OR 92 par2 @ Royal Ascot 18/06/2025 · Pos 28th of 30 · OR 92 · 1m GF 129 · below its mark18/06/2025 · OR 92 par18/062OR 922 @ Goodwood 29/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 18 · OR 99 · 1m1f197y Gd 127 · beat its mark29/07/2025 · OR 99 par1 @ Windsor 23/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 99 · 1m2f Goo 133 · beat its mark23/08/2025 · OR 99 par23/081OR 99C0 @ Woodbine 04/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 112 · 1m4f Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 112 parC0 @ Del Mar 01/11/2025 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 121 · 1m4f Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 121 par1/11C?OR 121C0 @ Meydan 23/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 111 · 1m1f Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/01/2026 · OR 111 par1 @ Windsor 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 110 · 1m3f99y Sft 133 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 110 par29/081OR 110projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Windsor12nd3rd−0
2026-01-23Meydan?2nd2nd+0
2025-11-01Del Mar?13th13th+0
2025-10-04Woodbine?1st1st+0
2025-08-23Windsor11st1st−0
2025-07-29Goodwood24th6th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0829/071/1129/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength67%

Delivery trend +6.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/08/20243rd10/382%60%-0.22
26/05/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
18/06/202528th25/10%7%+0.07
29/07/20254th18/15%82%+0.77
23/08/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
04/10/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
01/11/202513th66/10%8%+0.08
23/01/20262nd25/10%80%+0.80
29/08/20262nd10/147%86%+0.38