3

Wimbledon Hawkeye

4yo Colt · 9-2 · Draw 3 · OR 119

ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix Dollar (Group 2) · 1m 1f 152y

#4

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Royal Ascot 20/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 110 · 1m3f211y GF 128 · beat its mark20/06/2025 · OR 110 par20/061OR 1101 @ Newmarket 10/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 109 · 1m4f GF 122 · beat its mark10/07/2025 · OR 109 par1 @ Goodwood 31/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 109 · 1m3f218y Goo 129 · beat its mark31/07/2025 · OR 109 par31/071OR 109C1 @ Kentucky Downs 30/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 112 · 1m2f110y 122 · beat its mark30/08/2025 · OR 112 parC0 @ Del Mar 01/11/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 107 · 1m4f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 107 par1/11C?OR 1071 @ Sandown 28/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 115 · 1m1f209y Goo 128 · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 115 par1 @ Royal Ascot 16/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 115 · 1m1f212y GF 131 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 115 par16/061OR 1151 @ Deauville 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 115 · 1m1f207y Sft 125 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 115 par1 @ Leopardstown 12/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 115 · 1m2f Gd 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 115 par12/091OR 115projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Leopardstown12nd2nd+0
2026-08-15Deauville11st1st−0
2026-06-16Royal Ascot12nd3rd−0
2026-05-28Sandown15th5th−0
2025-11-01Del Mar?12th12th+0
2025-08-30Kentucky Downs?1st1st−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0630/0816/0612/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 90/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +8.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/06/20254th10/147%63%+0.15
10/07/20252nd5/287%67%-0.20
31/07/20252nd15/261%83%+0.23
30/08/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
01/11/202512th25/10%15%+0.15
28/05/20265th20/10%20%+0.20
16/06/20262nd12/137%93%+0.56
15/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
12/09/20262nd33/10%86%+0.86