
Wimbledon Hawkeye
4yo Colt · 9-2 · Draw 3 · OR 119
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix Dollar (Group 2) · 1m 1f 152y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Leopardstown | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Deauville | 1 | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 2nd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Sandown | 1 | 5th | 5th | −0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Del Mar | ? | 12th | 12th | +0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 10/07/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 31/07/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 30/08/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 01/11/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 28/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 16/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 12/09/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |