7
Altamira
4yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 9
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Arabian Trophy Des Juments (Arab Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y
#12
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 3rd | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Tarbes | ? | 6th | 11th | −4 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 7th | 12th | −4 |
| 2025-10-27 | Toulouse | ? | 8th | 9th | −0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 4-12 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength12%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 29/08/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |
| 03/10/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 27/10/2025 | 8th | 5/2 | 87% | 22% | -0.65 |
| 11/04/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 45% | -0.33 |
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 71% | +0.16 |
| 19/08/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |