IvyArcIvyArc
4

Amjaad

4yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 10

ParisLongchamp · Qatar Arabian Trophy Des Juments (Arab Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y

#8

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.1
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 28/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12328/03C5C0 @ La Teste De Buch 16/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 12316/06C?C1 @ La Teste De Buch 12/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 12812/07C1C0 @ Deauville 05/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 1235/08C?C0 @ La Teste De Buch 29/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12829/08C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 03/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1283/10C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-10-03Saint-Cloud?2nd2nd0
2025-08-29La Teste De Buch?2nd2nd−0
2025-08-05Deauville?4th4th0
2025-07-12La Teste De Buch?3rd4th−0
2025-06-16La Teste De Buch?2nd2nd−0
2025-03-28Bordeaux Le Bouscat?1st6th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0316/0612/075/0829/083/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 71/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength95%

Delivery trend +4.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/03/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
16/06/20252nd9/488%83%-0.05
12/07/20253rd8/1397%71%-0.25
05/08/20254th14/126%25%-0.01
29/08/20252nd5/174%89%+0.15
03/10/20252nd8/158%93%+0.35