2

Fakhira
4yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 7
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Arabian Trophy Des Juments (Arab Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
58%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.2
Today: 1
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | La Teste De Buch | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 4-4 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength71%
Delivery trend -14.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 10/08/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |