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5

Hm Miyar

4yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 3

ParisLongchamp · Qatar Arabian Trophy Des Juments (Arab Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y

#9

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -4.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Tarbes 11/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 12111/05C5C5 @ Mont De Marsan 29/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 12129/07C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 05/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 1235/09C5projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05La Teste De Buch?2nd7th−4
2026-07-29Mont De Marsan?4th9th−4
2026-05-11Tarbes?2nd7th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0529/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 12-12 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -33.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/05/20262nd14/126%91%+0.65
29/07/20264th8/158%57%-0.01
05/09/20262nd9/488%86%-0.02