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12

Mn Shahrazad

4yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 12

ParisLongchamp · Qatar Arabian Trophy Des Juments (Arab Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -4.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ La Teste De Buch 01/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m1f97y Gd 1231/07C5C5 @ Mont De Marsan 29/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 12129/07C5projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Mont De Marsan?1st6th−4
2026-07-01La Teste De Buch?3rd8th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0729/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +14.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/07/20263rd10/147%67%+0.19
29/07/20261st13/266%100%+0.34