8
Shagaf
4yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 6
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Arabian Trophy Des Juments (Arab Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y
#10
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Toulouse | 1 | 5th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-04-22 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Pau | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2025-08-24 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 12-12 · tight 85/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 10/12/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 22/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 10/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |