10
Ts Waseema
4yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 8
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Arabian Trophy Des Juments (Arab Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 4th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-07-11 | La Teste De Buch | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Toulouse | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Toulouse | ? | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Toulouse | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2025-08-11 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 12-12 · tight 87/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -13.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 91% | +0.22 |
| 17/09/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 27/10/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 60% | -0.36 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |