8
Colgan Senora
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 2
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Place des Vosges Handicap · 1m 4f 94y
#15
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | 2 | 13th | 14th | −1 |
| 2026-08-04 | Deauville | 2 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 3 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2025-10-05 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 180% of fieldRange 11-18 · tight 71/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 18th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2025 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 09/07/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 05/08/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 79% | -0.00 |
| 24/08/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 05/10/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 57% | +0.52 |
| 04/08/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.38 |
| 27/08/2026 | 13th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 13/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 76% | +0.40 |