18
Dempy
5yo Gelding · 8-4 · Draw 9
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Place des Vosges Handicap · 1m 4f 94y
#16
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Compiegne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Deauville | 2 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-20 | Compiegne | 2 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-05-07 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-23 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1847% of fieldRange 3-14 · tight 56/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength58%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 15/03/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.13 |
| 12/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 79% | +0.42 |
| 23/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 87% | +0.50 |
| 07/05/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 20/06/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 25/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 15/09/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 93% | +0.38 |