13
Ebiyar
3yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 3
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Place des Vosges Handicap · 1m 4f 94y
#13
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Le Mans | 2 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Clairefontaine | 2 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-05 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2025-10-19 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 1812% of fieldRange 10-18 · tight 65/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 16th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 05/04/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/6 | 96% | 88% | -0.09 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/11 | 96% | 60% | -0.36 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 4/5 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |