17
King Trezy
5yo Gelding · 8-5 · Draw 16
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Place des Vosges Handicap · 1m 4f 94y
#18
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#18
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Dieppe | 2 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-10-04 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-17 | Deauville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 186% of fieldRange 12-18 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength2%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 17th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 07/05/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 01/06/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 87% | +0.05 |
| 29/06/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 93% | +0.04 |
| 17/08/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 08/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 53% | +0.06 |
| 30/07/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 53% | -0.15 |
| 18/08/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |