Le Lavandou
5yo Colt · 9-6 · Draw 13
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Place des Vosges Handicap · 1m 4f 94y
#5
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Deauville | 2 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Saint-Cloud | 1 | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Compiegne | 2 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Saint-Cloud | 1 | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Fontainebleau | ? | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2025-10-04 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 24/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 06/09/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 04/10/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 94% | +0.94 |
| 13/11/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 29/03/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 09/05/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/08/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |