6
Mister Gatz
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 12
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Place des Vosges Handicap · 1m 4f 94y
#10
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Compiegne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-06 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-03-29 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1859% of fieldRange 3-18 · tight 37/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength42%
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 12/12/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 02/01/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 29/03/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 07/05/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 18/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 06/09/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |